Off-Topic: What the Santorum Iowa results mean
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Name:   MartiniMan The author of this post is registered as a member - Email Member
Subject:   What the Santorum Iowa results mean
Date:   1/4/2012 1:58:28 PM

After reading a ton of analysis about Santorum coming from nowhere to essentially tying Romney I think the following explanation makes the most sense. Over the last several months we have seen Romney's numbers holding in the 20%-25% range while the other candidates have risen to the top and then after greater scrutiny having fallen back to earth only to see another rise. What seems to be happening is that the 75% of the GOP that doesn't like Romney are moving around between the other conservative candidates. So prior to Santorum the flavor of the moment was Newt. But after Romney and Paul spent millions on negative ads about Newt in Iowa his support shifts to Santorum and lo and behold he does well.

So the real question is now that Santorum has shown legs will they also whither when he is attacked by Romney and possibly the others in NH and SC? And if he likewise whithers will some of that support finally drift to Romney? I know it won't go to Ron Paul because he is a nut. Bachman/Cain/Pawlenty are out and Perry is on his last legs. Huntsman is not even on the radar screen. Who's left for those unhappy with Romney to support. Gingrich again?

One thing is very clear to me. The Obama campaign team really wants to run against Romney. I think they really fear a more certain conservative because the contrast will be stark. With Romney you gets shades of gray.....or they can argue he is Obama-lite or whatever.
Other messages in this thread:View Entire Thread
What the Santorum Iowa results mean - MartiniMan - 1/4/2012 1:58:28 PM
     What the Santorum Iowa results mean - GoneFishin - 1/4/2012 6:19:42 PM
          Where Romney Really Stands - GoneFishin - 1/4/2012 8:27:38 PM
               Where Romney Really Stands - Barneget - 1/4/2012 9:12:41 PM
               Who cares! - MartiniMan - 1/5/2012 8:17:09 AM
     What the Santorum Iowa results mean - Barneget - 1/4/2012 9:29:43 PM



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